One
of two co-founders and one of three managing directors of the China
Greentech Initiative, Elle Carberry, resides in China to truly keep her
finger on the ever changing pulse of country's greentech industry.
Elle
weighs in with us on everything from the speculative talk of an
economic hard landing in China to their aggressive and successful
efforts at creating a Strong and Smart Grid Plan.
As
rumors and speculations swirl about the possibility of China
experiencing a hard landing, how could that affect the country's efforts
and ambitions in the greentech industry? It's a question that has been
looming for months.
"Generally from '09 to now China has been trying to stimulate
domestic consumption – and China knew it had to do that—it knows it has to do
that—there’s no choice about it—its what you do. Their average GDP per person
is growing all the time. China has an emerging middle class where their incomes
are going up 10 and 15 percent year over year, so it’s tangible. People have
money but people need to spend money and they need to spend it in their own domestic
economy," Carberry said.
For
China, one of the answers has been to move forward with greentech
initiatives. Despite setbacks, maintaining and increasing greentech
targets is essential.
"The solar industry in particular has been through a bit of a
hit, so they immediately increased the targets for how much solar and wind power
it wants to produce in this current five year plan," said Carberry.
"It’s already been making adjustments directly
through the mandate that says the country will install this many gigawatts of
wind and solar and biofuels, that’s
the kind of thing that they will continue to do."
One
of China's particularly interesting greentech initiatives is Waste to
Energy (WtE) efforts. WtE refers to taking any biofuel/waste and finding
ways to harness it for a growing population's energy consumption
needs.
"They started incentivizing
wind three or four years ago, and now they’re getting solar to start moving
along and they’re just beginning with WtE," said Carberry. "So they’re starting to transition
that sector, and they will. The way
they do targets is to say that a percent of the energy—a certain percent
will be renewable and within renewable, a certain percent will be... But for now
this is the first time that there’s really a target for WtE in this current
plan."
With
ever growing urban centers and a mass migration from rural areas to
cities, China has an unprecedented challenge and opportunity to address
the energy needs of its citizens while paving the way for thought
leadership in other parts of the world.
"They’ve also put in place targets for things like converting
cooking oil. There’s a lot of cooking
oil in China that causes a waste problem and can be recycled... The
cooking oil is a kind of an automatic thing because it can be
easily aggregated in big cities where millions of people are using it,"
said Carberry. "The food waste thing is that it’s all concentrated. It’s
urban centers that have millions of millions of millions of people. And it is a
real problem. So they have slightly different incentives for different parts of
the waste energy area."
Another aggressive and bold move China has made has been in their undertaking of a Strong and Smart Grid Plan.
"There was maybe two years of planning, there’s
maybe four years of construction, and then there’s some more years of
deployment. So it a nearly decade long or ten year long kind of plan that
they’re putting in place. And then they do their best to plan these things out,
and think these things out—you know it’s a extremely important part of their
infrastructure." Carberry said.
China
has become a well-known exporter of infrastructure around the world.
Building infrastructure in nations in the Middle East and Africa, as
well as in China. Particularly important to China's shift from rural to
urban living is having a well-planned infrastructure to support the
changes over the next several decades.
"
Infrastructure is something that China does
well. And so the build out of this grid is a vital, and hugely important part
of infrastructure. Take the electricity that’s largely speaking kind of
generated in the central and western part of the country where the coal mines
are, and then move it to the east part of the country where the cities are. So this is a
vital, vital part of their self-development as a nation and its also vital –
because I think you probably realize that a part of what is underlying the need
for greater amounts of electricity and a smart strong grid across the whole
nation is that there are 400 million people that are going to be urbanized over
these 20 years. It’s the largest ever mass migration from rural to urban that
has ever happened on the planet," Carberry said.
The
importance of the changing rural to city situation cannot be emphasized
enough when it comes to China's approach to building out this grid.
"All these people who are going to be going to the cities now are going to be using so
much more electricity, and they have to get
ready to support that kind of – basically the development of a middle
class," said Carberry. "So
it just very well planned, it’s not by any means finished but its
thought—they’re trying to figure it out step by step and there's a
significant amount
of investment dollars behind it and this is where the power of a big
government
that wants something done, can get something done"
In
the end for China's greentech initiatives to be successful it will take
a revolutionary approach to how it all the targets and initiatives take
shape.
"It has to be a very organized plan. It has to be well
thought out. It has to be very, very, very well-funded and supported and
organized by the government," said Carberry. "That’s kind of how you need to do these things."
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